Friday, February 07, 2014

Newbury's Super Saturday 2014

Tomorrow's meetings at Newbury and Warwick are both subject to early morning inspections.

In the Game Spirit at Newbury (3.00) Dodging Bullets looks the likely favourite but I'm with Tom George's Module. On official ratings this one has two pounds in hand over Paul Nicholls' charge and receives an additional three pounds under the conditions of the race. Last time out Module never really troubled the principals in Huntingdon's Peterborough Chase but this drop back to two miles should suit.

Al Ferof leads the market for the Denman Chase (2.25) and favourites have a reasonable record with four wins from past nine renewals. I'm not tempted by Katenko who may well improve on his fourth in Haydock's Peter Marsh but Venetia Williams' charge has taken time to come to hand this year while Harry Topper's jumping has been a concern in the past and the gelding has been done no favours at the weights. I won't play.

The last horse older than six to win the Betfair Hurdle (3.35) was Geos in 2004. Of those set to carry less than 11 stones, the two Pipe runners catch the eye. Professor Caroline Tisdall shelled out 280,000 euros of her own money to buy Dell'Arca who won the Greatwood at Cheltenham before coming to grief in a nasty-looking incident at Ascot next time out. Provided that mishap hasn't affected the confidence Dell'Arca should run a nice race while Pipe's other entry, Swing Bowler, finished third in this race last year behind My Tent Or Yours and Cotton Mill. The mare hasn't seen a track for eleven months but as a consequence she contests this year's renewal off a mark just two pounds higher. Connections have indicated she wouldn't want the ground too soft and another tilt at the mares' hurdle at next month's Cheltenham Festival is the target. Jumps Road has winning form on heavy ground and has run into third spot at big prices behind Melodic Rendezvous and The New One in recent weeks; Colin Tizzard's inmate is worth a small each-way interest at 33/1 with Skybet who are paying a quarter the odds five places.          

1 comment:

GeeDee said...

Module went off 11/8 favourite and managed to hold market rival Dodging Bullets (2/1) a neck on the line, reclaiming the lead on the run-in.

The form comment tells me Betfair Hurdle selection Jumps Road (33/1) was never better than mid-division - he came home tenth. Dell'Arca fared more prominently to finish second while Swing Bowler claimed fifth following the final flight fall of Far West.